IPL 2024 Final: KKR vs SRH in Chennai
The much-anticipated IPL 2024 final is set to take place tonight at 7:30 PM in Chennai, featuring Kolkata Knight Riders (KKR) and Sunrisers Hyderabad (SRH). KKR, finishing first in the points table, secured their spot in the final by winning Qualifier-1. Meanwhile, SRH, who finished second, made it to the final after winning Qualifier 2. Historical trends indicate that the team winning Qualifier-1 has a strong chance of winning the title, with such teams winning the last six seasons consecutively.
Historical Trends Favor Number-2 Teams and Toss Winners
- Success of Top-2 Teams: The top-2 teams from the league stage have won the IPL title 13 times out of 16. Notably, the number-2 team has claimed the trophy 8 times, compared to 5 times by the number-1 team. This season, KKR is the top finisher, and SRH is second, aligning with the trend that favors the top-2 league finishers.
- Importance of the Toss: Winning the toss has proved advantageous in IPL finals, with a 62.5% success rate. Teams winning the toss have preferred to bowl first, securing victories in 9 out of 16 finals. This trend is likely to influence the decision at Chepauk, where chasing teams have won 43.75% of the finals.
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High Scores and Qualifier-1 Advantage
- Chasing 200+ Scores: In the IPL final history, no team has successfully chased a score of 200 or more. Four finals have seen 200+ scores, all of which led to victories for the teams batting first. This suggests that any team posting a 200+ score tonight is almost guaranteed to win.
- Qualifier-1 Winners’ Dominance: The team winning Qualifier-1 has emerged victorious in 10 out of 13 finals since the playoff system’s introduction in 2011. This trend gives KKR, the Qualifier-1 winner, a 76.92% chance of lifting the trophy, compared to SRH’s 23.07% chance as the Qualifier-2 winner.
Venue Neutrality and Historical Patterns
- Neutral Venue Advantage: Chepauk Stadium serves as a neutral venue for both KKR and SRH. Historically, neutral venues have hosted 9 out of 16 IPL finals, with the home team winning only twice. This neutral setting might provide a level playing field for both finalists.
- Past Final Outcomes: In past finals, defending scores have been slightly more successful (56.25%) compared to chasing. Teams will likely consider these trends when making strategic decisions during the match.