NZ vs AUS Match Preview & Prediction: New Zealand meet Australia at Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui, on 1 October 2025 at 11:45 IST
New Zealand and Australia gear up for the first of a three-match T20I series at the Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui. The Kiwis are in red-hot form at home, but the Aussies arrive as overwhelming favourites, having dominated in recent months.
New Zealand will count on their home advantage, while Australia look to continue their winning run in T20Is.
Match Details – NZ vs AUS 1st T20I 2025
| Detail | Information |
|---|---|
| Match | NZ vs AUS, 1st T20I |
| Date | 01 October 2025 |
| Time | 11:45 IST |
| Venue | Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui |
| Live Streaming | Star Sports / Hotstar |
| Format | T20 |
NZ vs AUS 1st T20I Preview and Team Analysis
New Zealand
The Black Caps are riding high with five straight wins across the tri-series and bilateral contests. Tim Seifert’s explosive batting form (445 runs in 10 innings at SR 170) will be key. Conway provides solidity, while Daryl Mitchell and Rachin Ravindra add middle-order depth.
Matt Henry leads the bowling attack with 10 wickets in four games, supported by Kyle Jamieson’s pace and Ish Sodhi’s spin threat.
Key Players: Tim Seifert, Devon Conway, Matt Henry
Probable XI (NZ): Tim Seifert (wk), Devon Conway, Rachin Ravindra, Daryl Mitchell, Mark Chapman, Michael Bracewell (c), Matt Henry, Kyle Jamieson, Ish Sodhi, Jacob Duffy, Glenn Phillips
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Australia
Australia are in supreme form, winning 7 of their last 8 T20Is. Travis Head and Mitchell Marsh form a powerful top-order partnership, while Glenn Maxwell and Marcus Stoinis can explode in the middle overs. Tim David’s finishing strike rate of 210 this year makes him a dangerous late-order hitter.
In bowling, Josh Hazlewood and Xavier Bartlett bring early pace and swing, with Adam Zampa expected to control the middle overs.
Key Players: Mitchell Marsh, Travis Head, Josh Hazlewood, Adam Zampa
Probable XI (AUS): Mitchell Marsh (c), Travis Head, Glenn Maxwell, Alex Carey (wk), Matthew Short, Marcus Stoinis, Tim David, Josh Hazlewood, Xavier Bartlett, Ben Dwarshuis, Adam Zampa
NZ vs AUS Pitch and Weather Report
Bay Oval Pitch Report
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Average 1st Innings Score: 190+ runs
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Batting: Flat deck, short square boundaries (63–70m)
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Pace Bowling: Early swing under lights, especially with sea breeze
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Spin Bowling: Becomes effective as the pitch slows later
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Highest Score: 243/5 by NZ vs WI (2018)
Toss Prediction: Winning captain likely to bowl first, chasing sides often enjoy an advantage with dew settling in.
Weather Forecast
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Warm evening with clear skies
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Temperatures: 31–36°C
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Wind: Light, 2–7 k/h
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Rain: 0 mm expected
Who Will Win NZ vs AUS 1st T20I
New Zealand are a formidable force at home, but Australia’s form and head-to-head dominance (3-0 in the last 3 matches) give them the upper hand.
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If Australia bat first: Expect 190–200+ with Marsh/Head firing.
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If New Zealand bats first, Seifert and Conway must anchor for a 175–185 total.
Prediction: Australia start as favourites, but New Zealand can upset if their top order fires.
